Tag: World Economic Forum

  • The Global Risks Report 2026 by World Economic Forum

    The Global Risks Report 2026 by World Economic Forum

    About the paper

    The World Economic Forum’s Global Risks Report 2026 examines global risks across 2026, 2028 and 2036, framing the period as an “age of competition” shaped by geo-economic confrontation, societal fragmentation, technological acceleration and environmental stress.

    It is a mixed-methods report based on the Global Risks Perception Survey of over 1,300 experts worldwide, the Executive Opinion Survey of over 11,000 business leaders in 116 economies, and foresight input from 161 experts through interviews and workshops conducted between May and November 2025.

    Length: 102 pages

    More information / download:
    https://www.weforum.org/publications/global-risks-report-2026/

    Core Insights

    1. What is the report’s central argument about the global risk landscape in 2026–2036?

    The report’s central argument is that the world is entering an “age of competition” in which cooperation is weakening just as global risks are becoming faster, more interconnected and more systemic. The report does not present predictions, but rather a set of plausible risk trajectories intended to support prevention and preparedness.

    Its core diagnosis is that geopolitical and geo-economic rivalry are no longer separate risk categories; they are becoming organising forces that shape the entire risk landscape. Trade, finance, technology, supply chains and infrastructure are increasingly treated as instruments of power. This creates a world in which confrontation replaces collaboration, and where multilateral institutions struggle to manage cross-border problems.

    The report’s tone is notably pessimistic. Half of surveyed experts expect a turbulent or stormy global outlook over the next two years, rising to 57% over the next decade. Only 1% expect a calm outlook across either time horizon. The implication is that instability is not viewed as a temporary disruption, but as a structural condition of the coming decade.

    2. Which risks dominate the short-term outlook, and why?

    In the immediate and two-year outlook, geo-economic confrontation is the dominant concern. It is identified as the top risk most likely to trigger a material global crisis in 2026, selected by 18% of respondents, followed by state-based armed conflict at 14%. Over the two-year horizon, geo-economic confrontation is also ranked as the most severe risk.

    This reflects the report’s view that economic instruments are increasingly being used for strategic advantage. Sanctions, tariffs, investment controls, technology restrictions, supply-chain weaponisation and resource competition are no longer peripheral policy tools; they are becoming central features of international rivalry. The report argues that this threatens the core of the interconnected global economy.

    Other short-term risks cluster around the same underlying instability. Misinformation and disinformation ranks second over the two-year horizon, societal polarisation third, extreme weather fourth, and state-based armed conflict fifth. Cyber insecurity, inequality and erosion of civic freedoms also feature in the top 10. This shows that the report sees short-term risk as a combination of geopolitical confrontation, social fragmentation and information disorder.

    Economic risks also rise sharply in the two-year outlook. Economic downturn and inflation each rise eight places compared with the previous year, while asset bubble burst rises seven places. The report links these concerns to debt pressures, volatile markets, potential AI-related investment bubbles and the broader uncertainty created by protectionism and geo-economic rivalry.

    3. How does the long-term risk outlook differ from the two-year outlook?

    The long-term outlook shifts from geopolitical and economic confrontation towards environmental and technological risks. Over the 10-year horizon, extreme weather events rank first, followed by biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse, critical change to Earth systems, misinformation and disinformation, and adverse outcomes of AI technologies. Half of the top 10 long-term risks are environmental.

    This creates one of the report’s central tensions: environmental risks are being deprioritised in the short term even though they remain dominant in the long term. The report notes that most environmental risks decline in the two-year ranking and also show reduced short-term severity scores compared with the previous year. Yet over 10 years, environmental risks remain the most severe category.

    The report’s interpretation is that immediate geopolitical, economic and societal pressures are crowding out longer-term collective priorities. In practical terms, climate and biodiversity risks remain existential, but political attention is being pulled towards wars, protectionism, inflation, debt, social unrest and technological disruption.

    This is one of the report’s most important implications: the world may be paying less attention to the risks that experts still see as most severe over the coming decade.

    4. What role do technology, AI and quantum developments play in the report’s risk assessment?

    Technology is presented as a source of enormous opportunity and systemic risk. In the short term, the report is most concerned with misinformation and disinformation, cyber insecurity and the way digital technologies amplify social polarisation. Misinformation and disinformation ranks second in the two-year outlook, while cyber insecurity ranks sixth.

    AI becomes much more important over the long term. “Adverse outcomes of AI technologies” rises from #30 in the two-year outlook to #5 in the 10-year outlook — the largest upward shift across all 33 risks surveyed. The report highlights several possible consequences: labour-market disruption, higher inequality, loss of purpose and social belonging, information chaos, concentration of economic power, and risks from military uses of AI.

    The report’s AI chapter is especially concerned with a scenario it describes as “jobless productivity”: productivity rises because of AI, but employment opportunities shrink or become more unevenly distributed. This could deepen inequality and social polarisation, particularly if middle-class and white-collar work is disrupted faster than societies can adapt.

    Quantum technologies are treated as a more distant but potentially severe frontier risk. The report highlights the possibility that quantum computing could undermine current cryptographic systems, threatening digital authentication, data privacy and trust infrastructure. It also warns that quantum leadership could become another domain of strategic rivalry, widening economic and geopolitical divides.

    5. What does the report imply about cooperation, governance and resilience?

    The report’s underlying message is that cooperation is becoming harder at precisely the moment when it is most needed. Multilateralism is described as under pressure from declining trust, protectionism, weakening rule of law and the rise of more adversarial national strategies.

    The report does not argue that cooperation has disappeared. Rather, it suggests that cooperation will need to look different. In a more fragmented world, global treaties may be harder to achieve, so the report points to coalitions of the willing, minilateral agreements, public-private partnerships, multi-stakeholder engagement, public awareness, education, R&D and corporate resilience strategies as practical mechanisms for risk reduction.

    The report’s perspective is pragmatic rather than optimistic. It assumes that the current order is weakening, but not that collapse is inevitable. Its conclusion is that resilience will depend on rebuilding trust, protecting institutional capacity, investing in adaptive infrastructure, preparing societies for technological disruption, and finding new forms of cooperation even amid competition.

    The most important strategic implication is that risk management can no longer be treated as domain-specific. Geopolitics affects economics; economics affects social trust; social distrust affects governance; technology affects all of them; and environmental risks continue to intensify in the background. The report’s core warning is that leaders must prepare for compounding risks, not isolated crises.

  • The Global Risks Report 2025 by World Economic Forum

    The Global Risks Report 2025 by World Economic Forum

    About the paper

    The Global Risks Report 2025 is the World Economic Forum’s 20th annual assessment of major global risks across geopolitical, environmental, societal, economic and technological domains.

    It is a mixed-methods report based primarily on the 2024–2025 Global Risks Perception Survey of over 900 experts worldwide, collected from 2 September to 18 October 2024, supplemented by the Executive Opinion Survey of over 11,000 business leaders in 121 economies and qualitative input from 96 experts.

    The geographic scope is global.

    Length: 104 pages

    More information / download:
    https://www.weforum.org/publications/global-risks-report-2025/

    Core Insights

    1. What is the report’s central argument about the global risk landscape in 2025?

    The report argues that the world is entering 2025 in a state of deepening fragmentation, with risks increasingly reinforcing one another across domains. Its central diagnosis is that geopolitical conflict, societal polarization, environmental stress and technological disruption are converging in ways that existing governance systems are poorly equipped to manage.

    The immediate risk that dominates the 2025 outlook is state-based armed conflict, selected by 23% of GRPS respondents as the risk most likely to present a material global crisis in 2025. This is a major shift from the previous year, when it ranked eighth. The report connects this rise to the wars in Ukraine, the Middle East and Sudan, and to broader fears that conflicts could escalate or spread.

    But the report does not present conflict as an isolated geopolitical problem. It describes a risk environment where conflict is linked to geo-economic confrontation, cyber warfare, misinformation and disinformation, forced displacement, humanitarian crises and weakening multilateralism. In other words, the world is not only experiencing more crises; it is losing some of the connective tissue needed to manage them collectively.

    The tone is notably pessimistic. Only a small share of respondents see the near-term outlook as stable or calm, while a majority expect an “unsettled” world and sizeable minorities expect turbulence or stormy conditions. The report’s broader message is that short-term crisis management is no longer enough because many immediate risks are symptoms of deeper structural shifts.

    2. Which risks dominate the short-term outlook to 2027, and why?

    The top risk over the two-year horizon is misinformation and disinformation, which ranks first for the second year running. The report sees this as especially dangerous because false or misleading content now interacts with political polarization, conflict, elections, distrust in institutions and advances in generative AI.

    The short-term top risks also include extreme weather events, societal polarization, cyber espionage and warfare, state-based armed conflict, inequality, involuntary migration or displacement, erosion of human rights and civic freedoms, geo-economic confrontation and pollution.

    Several patterns stand out. First, geopolitical risks have moved sharply upward. State-based armed conflict is now third over the two-year horizon, and geo-economic confrontation has risen from fourteenth to ninth. Second, economic risks such as inflation and economic downturn have fallen out of the two-year top 10, even though the report warns against complacency. Third, societal risks remain highly prominent, suggesting that social cohesion is becoming a central risk variable rather than merely a consequence of other crises.

    The report’s short-term outlook is therefore not just a list of threats; it is a picture of a world where trust is weakening. Misinformation undermines shared reality, polarization reduces the capacity for collective action, and geopolitical rivalry makes international cooperation harder just when it is most needed.

    3. How does the report describe the longer-term risk outlook to 2035?

    The 2035 outlook is even darker than the short-term outlook. The report finds that all 33 risks assessed in the GRPS are expected to increase in severity over the 10-year horizon compared with the two-year horizon. Environmental and technological risks become much more prominent over the longer term.

    The highest-ranked long-term risk is extreme weather events, followed by critical change to Earth systems, biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse, natural resource shortages and misinformation and disinformation. This means that four of the top five long-term risks are environmental.

    The report presents environmental risk as having moved from a distant long-term concern to an urgent, worsening reality. Extreme weather remains the top 10-year risk for the second year in a row, while biodiversity loss and Earth system change are framed as signs that the world may be approaching irreversible thresholds.

    Technological risks also rise sharply over the decade. Adverse outcomes of AI technologies ranks only low in the two-year outlook but climbs to sixth in the 10-year ranking. The report treats this as a warning against complacency: current risk perception may be underestimating how quickly AI, biotechnology and other frontier technologies could reshape social, political and security risks.

    The 2035 message is that the world faces a compounding risk landscape: climate stress, technological acceleration, demographic change and geostrategic fragmentation are not separate trends, but structural forces that interact.

    4. What role do technology, misinformation and polarization play in the report’s risk narrative?

    Technology is treated as both an accelerator and an amplifier of risk. The report does not argue that technology itself is the root cause of fragmentation, but it shows how digital platforms, generative AI, algorithmic systems and expanding surveillance capabilities can intensify existing social and political divisions.

    The most immediate concern is misinformation and disinformation. The report notes that generative AI makes it easier to produce false or misleading text, images, audio and video at scale. This makes it harder for citizens, companies and governments to distinguish reliable information from manipulated content.

    The report links this directly to societal polarization, which ranks fourth over the two-year horizon. Polarized societies are more vulnerable to manipulated narratives, and manipulated narratives can in turn deepen polarization. The risk is a feedback loop in which trust in media, institutions and public information continues to erode.

    The report also highlights algorithmic bias and censorship and surveillance. As public services, media systems and political communication become more data-driven, biased or opaque algorithms can produce unfair outcomes and further reduce trust. Meanwhile, the growing digital footprint of citizens gives governments, companies and threat actors greater capacity to monitor and influence behaviour.

    The report’s underlying assumption is that technological governance is lagging behind technological capability. It calls for stronger accountability, transparency, digital literacy and upskilling for those building and using automated systems.

    5. What does the report imply for global governance and risk preparedness?

    The report’s strongest implication is that fragmented governance is becoming a risk multiplier. Across conflict, trade, technology, pollution, biotech and demographic ageing, the report repeatedly returns to the same problem: many of the most severe risks require collective action, but the international environment is becoming less cooperative.

    For armed conflict, the report argues that weakened faith in multilateral institutions could push governments towards unilateral action and selective alliances. For geo-economic confrontation, it warns that escalating tariffs, sanctions and investment restrictions could fragment global trade and weaken cooperation on climate, health, technology and development. For pollution and biotech, it stresses the need for better regulation, monitoring and global norms.

    The report does not suggest that global treaties alone are sufficient. It also emphasizes regional organizations, multi-stakeholder engagement, domestic resilience, public education, corporate strategies, research and development, and better monitoring systems. But its broader conclusion is that durable risk mitigation depends on rebuilding forms of cooperation that can survive geopolitical rivalry.

    The final message is cautiously normative: the world is moving into a more divided and unstable period, but the report insists there is no viable alternative to dialogue, collaboration and multilateral solutions. Its purpose is therefore not simply to forecast risk, but to push leaders to act before today’s warning signals become irreversible crises.

  • Future of Jobs Report 2025 by World Economic Forum

    Future of Jobs Report 2025 by World Economic Forum

    About the paper

    The World Economic Forum’s Future of Jobs Report 2025 analyses how technological change, geo-economic fragmentation, economic uncertainty, demographic shifts and the green transition are expected to reshape jobs, skills and workforce strategies by 2030.

    It is primarily an original employer survey, supplemented by data partnerships with ADP, Coursera, Indeed and LinkedIn; the survey covers more than 1,000 employers representing over 14 million workers across 22 industry clusters and 55 economies.

    The methodology is employer-perspective forecasting rather than labour-market measurement alone: the survey was conducted in late 2024 and asks organisations to estimate expected changes over the 2025–2030 period. The report is global in scope, but it explicitly focuses on larger companies and does not fully cover small enterprises or the informal sector.

    Length: 290 pages

    More information / download:
    https://www.weforum.org/publications/the-future-of-jobs-report-2025/

    Core Insights

    1. What are the main forces expected to transform global labour markets by 2030?

    The report identifies five broad forces: technological change, geo-economic fragmentation, economic uncertainty, demographic shifts and the green transition. These are presented not as separate trends, but as overlapping pressures that will reshape business models, employment and skill needs simultaneously.

    The most prominent single trend is broadening digital access, which 60% of employers expect to transform their business by 2030. Within technology, AI and information-processing technologies stand out even more strongly: 86% of employers expect them to transform their business, followed by robotics and automation at 58%, and energy generation, storage and distribution at 41%.

    Economic pressure remains highly important. Rising cost of living is the second-most transformative overall trend, cited by 50% of employers, while slower economic growth is cited by 42%. The green transition is also central: 47% expect climate-change mitigation to transform their business, and 41% expect climate adaptation to do so. Demographic change adds a further layer, with ageing populations affecting mainly higher-income economies and growing working-age populations affecting many lower-income economies.

    The report’s perspective is clearly employer-led: it is concerned with how organisations expect these forces to affect business transformation, jobs, skills and workforce planning. That gives the report practical value, but it also means its findings reflect employers’ expectations rather than a neutral prediction of what will definitely happen.

    2. What does the report predict about job creation, job displacement and the changing composition of work?

    The report predicts substantial labour-market churn. Based on employer expectations, structural labour-market transformation between 2025 and 2030 is expected to affect the equivalent of 22% of today’s jobs. That consists of 170 million jobs created, equal to 14% of current employment, and 92 million jobs displaced, equal to 8%, producing a net increase of 78 million jobs, or 7%.

    This is an important nuance: the report does not present the future of work as simple mass unemployment caused by technology. Its argument is that disruption will be large, uneven and reconfigurational. Some roles will grow quickly, some will decline sharply, and many workers will need to shift skills, roles or sectors.

    Technology is described as especially double-edged. Broadening digital access and AI are expected to create jobs and displace jobs at the same time. Robotics and autonomous systems are more clearly associated with net job displacement. The report’s underlying message is therefore not “technology destroys work” or “technology creates work”, but that technology changes the distribution of work and the skill profile required to remain employable.

    3. Which jobs are expected to grow or decline most, and why?

    The fastest-growing roles in percentage terms are mainly technology-related. These include Big Data Specialists, FinTech Engineers, AI and Machine Learning Specialists, Software and Applications Developers, Data Warehousing Specialists, Information Security Analysts and related roles. Green-transition roles also feature strongly, including Autonomous and Electric Vehicle Specialists, Environmental Engineers and Renewable Energy Engineers.

    However, the largest growth in absolute numbers is expected in frontline and foundational roles, not only in high-tech occupations. The report highlights Farm-workers, Delivery Drivers, Construction Workers, Salespersons and Food Processing Workers, alongside care and education roles such as Nursing Professionals, Social Work and Counselling Professionals, Personal Care Aides, and Tertiary and Secondary Education Teachers.

    The largest declines are expected in clerical and secretarial work. Cashiers and Ticket Clerks, Administrative Assistants and Executive Secretaries, Postal Service Clerks, Bank Tellers and Data Entry Clerks are among the roles expected to decline most. This reflects the combined impact of digitalisation, AI, automation and changing business processes.

    A key implication is that “future jobs” should not be understood only as AI engineers and data scientists. The report points to a more mixed labour-market future: high-growth technology roles, green-transition roles, care and education roles, and continued demand for many frontline jobs.

    4. How are skills expected to change, and what does this imply for workers and employers?

    The report estimates that 39% of workers’ existing skill sets will be transformed or become outdated over the 2025–2030 period. This is lower than the 44% estimate in the 2023 report and much lower than the 57% estimate in 2020, but it still represents a major level of disruption.

    Analytical thinking remains the most sought-after core skill, with seven in 10 companies considering it essential in 2025. It is followed by resilience, flexibility and agility, and leadership and social influence. This matters because the report does not frame the future skills agenda as purely technical. Human, cognitive and adaptive capabilities remain central.

    The fastest-growing skills are AI and big data, networks and cybersecurity, and technological literacy. These are followed by creative thinking, resilience, flexibility and agility, curiosity and lifelong learning, leadership and social influence, talent management, analytical thinking and environmental stewardship. Manual dexterity, endurance and precision are expected to see a notable net decline in demand.

    The report’s underlying assumption is that employability will increasingly depend on combining technical fluency with adaptability and judgement. This is especially important because the skills that differentiate growing from declining roles include resilience, flexibility and agility; resource management and operations; quality control; programming; and technological literacy.

    5. What workforce strategies do employers expect to use in response to these shifts?

    Upskilling is the dominant response. The report says 85% of employers plan to prioritise upskilling their workforce. In addition, 70% expect to hire staff with new skills, around half plan to transition staff from declining to growing roles, and 40% expect to reduce staff as some skills become less relevant.

    The scale of the training challenge is large. If the global workforce were 100 people, the report estimates that 59 would need training by 2030. Of these, 29 could be upskilled in their current roles, 19 could be upskilled and redeployed elsewhere in the organisation, and 11 would be unlikely to receive the reskilling or upskilling they need.

    Employers also identify skill gaps as the biggest barrier to business transformation, cited by 63% of respondents. This makes skills not just an HR issue, but a strategic bottleneck. The report also highlights employee health and well-being as a top strategy for improving talent availability, cited by 64% of employers, while reskilling, upskilling and better progression are also seen as important.

    Finally, AI-specific workforce strategies are central. Half of employers plan to reorient their business in response to AI, two-thirds plan to hire talent with AI-specific skills, and 40% anticipate reducing their workforce where AI can automate tasks. The report’s practical conclusion is that organisations face a dual challenge: they must adopt technology fast enough to remain competitive, while also redesigning jobs, training systems and talent pipelines fast enough to avoid widening skill gaps.

  • Future of Jobs Report 2023 by World Economic Forum

    Future of Jobs Report 2023 by World Economic Forum

    About the paper

    The World Economic Forum’s Future of Jobs Report 2023 analyses how macro-trends, technology adoption, skills disruption and workforce strategies are expected to reshape labour markets from 2023 to 2027.

    It is a mixed-methods report built primarily on the fourth Future of Jobs Survey of 803 companies employing more than 11.3 million workers, across 27 industry clusters and 45 economies from all world regions, supplemented with data collaborations from Coursera, Indeed and LinkedIn.

    Length: 296 pages

    More information / download:
    https://www.weforum.org/publications/the-future-of-jobs-report-2023/

    Core Insights

    1. What is the central labour-market outlook presented in the report?

    The report’s central argument is that the global labour market is entering a period of significant structural churn rather than simple expansion or contraction. Employers expect major reconfiguration of roles, driven by technology, the green transition, economic pressure, supply-chain shifts and changing worker expectations.

    The headline estimate is that 23% of jobs will change structurally between 2023 and 2027. In the dataset covering 673 million jobs, employers expect 69 million jobs to be created and 83 million to be displaced, resulting in a net decrease of 14 million jobs, or about 2% of current employment.

    This is not presented as a uniform jobs crisis. The report’s more nuanced claim is that losses and gains will be unevenly distributed. Some roles, especially clerical, administrative and record-keeping jobs, are expected to decline sharply, while roles linked to technology, sustainability, education, agriculture and digital commerce are expected to grow.

    2. Which forces are expected to transform businesses and jobs most strongly?

    The report identifies technology adoption as the most widely expected driver of business transformation. More than 85% of surveyed organisations expect increased adoption of new and frontier technologies and broader digital access to transform their organisations.

    However, the report broadens the analysis beyond technology. It also highlights the green transition, ESG standards, climate adaptation, localisation of supply chains, slow economic growth, inflation, rising costs and geopolitical fragmentation.

    The strongest expected net job-creation effects come from green-transition investment, broader ESG adoption and more localised supply chains. By contrast, the strongest expected net job-destruction effects come from slower economic growth, supply shortages, rising input costs and the rising cost of living.

    So the report’s view is not “technology destroys jobs” or “technology creates jobs”. It argues that technology, climate, economics and geopolitics are interacting, producing both new demand and significant displacement.

    3. Which jobs are expected to grow, and which are expected to decline?

    The fastest-growing roles relative to their current size are mainly technology- and sustainability-related. AI and Machine Learning Specialists are at the top, followed by Sustainability Specialists, Business Intelligence Analysts, Information Security Analysts, Renewable Energy Engineers and related roles.

    Large-scale job growth is also expected in education, agriculture and digitally enabled commerce. The report projects growth in roles such as Vocational Education Teachers, University and Higher Education Teachers, Agricultural Equipment Operators, E-commerce Specialists, Digital Transformation Specialists and Digital Marketing and Strategy Specialists.

    The steepest declines are expected in clerical and administrative work. Bank Tellers, Postal Service Clerks, Cashiers and Ticket Clerks, Data Entry Clerks, Accounting and Payroll Clerks, and Administrative and Executive Secretaries are among the roles expected to decline most.

    The report estimates that 26 million fewer jobs may exist by 2027 in record-keeping and administrative roles alone. This makes administrative work one of the clearest areas of projected displacement.

    4. What does the report say about skills disruption and future skill needs?

    The report estimates that 44% of workers’ skills will be disrupted over the next five years. This is lower than the 57% disruption forecast in the 2020 edition, but still signals substantial pressure on workers and employers.

    Analytical thinking is identified as the most important core skill in 2023, followed by creative thinking. The report also places strong emphasis on resilience, flexibility, agility, motivation, self-awareness, curiosity, lifelong learning and technological literacy.

    The fastest-rising skills include creative thinking, analytical thinking, technological literacy, curiosity and lifelong learning, resilience, systems thinking, AI and big data, talent management and customer-service orientation.

    A key point is that companies’ training priorities do not simply mirror current skill importance. AI and big data rank only 15th as a current core skill, but third as a corporate training priority. This suggests that employers see AI capability as strategically urgent, even where it is not yet embedded across the workforce.

    5. What workforce strategies do companies expect to use, and what are the implications?

    The report finds that employers see skills gaps and difficulty attracting talent as the two biggest barriers to business transformation. Skills gaps in local labour markets are identified by 60% of surveyed companies, while 53% cite inability to attract talent.

    The most common workforce strategies are investing in learning and training on the job, and accelerating automation. Around four in five companies expect to use each of these strategies.

    The report estimates that six in 10 workers will need training before 2027, but only about half currently have access to adequate training opportunities. Companies expect much of this training to happen internally, through on-the-job training, coaching and internal training departments, rather than mainly through external providers.

    The implication is that the future of work will depend heavily on whether organisations can move from abstract concern about skills to practical, scaled workforce development. The report’s underlying assumption is that labour-market disruption is not fully predetermined: policy choices, business investment and talent strategies will shape whether the transition becomes exclusionary or opportunity-generating.